Ballity Match Intelligence

Nottingham ForestvsLeeds United

Premier League

2026-08-22 14:00:00

The City Ground

Current Squad v1 · Analytics 90% / 79%HIGH

Match Thesis

Exceptional aerial threat meets a weak opposing aerial resistance profile. — Forest vs Leeds United.

MED

Primary Edge

HIGH

Forest · Playmaking Winger

Omari Hutchinson creation vs Leeds United defensive resistance

Counter-Route

HIGH

Leeds United · Poacher

Dominic Calvert-Lewin box threat as Leeds United counter-route

Expected Lineups

Ballity predicted shape · Current Squad State

XI · UpdatingWatching for official lineup

Forest · 4-2-3-1

Leeds United · 3-4-2-1

Injured / missing

Nottingham Forest

No sidelined players listed

Leeds United

No sidelined players listed

Key Match Players

Nottingham Forest

Leeds United

BUILD-UP

Nottingham Forest

#1 BUILD-UPHIGH

Neco Williams

Defensive FB

Duels

ROLE FIT 80

25/26 · Previous Club

#2 BUILD-UPHIGH

Murillo

Stopper CB

Tempo

ROLE FIT 85

25/26 · Previous Club

#3 BUILD-UPHIGH

Nikola Milenković

Ball-Playing CB

Duels

ROLE FIT 81

25/26 · Previous Club

Leeds United

#1 BUILD-UPHIGH

Ethan Ampadu

Ball Winner

Duels

ROLE FIT 80

25/26 · Previous Club

#2 BUILD-UPHIGH

Joe Rodon

Ball-Playing CB

Aerial

ROLE FIT 81

25/26 · Previous Club

#3 BUILD-UPHIGH

Gabriel Gudmundsson

Defensive FB

Duels

ROLE FIT 78

25/26 · Previous Club

CREATION

Nottingham Forest

#1 CREATIONHIGH

Omari Hutchinson

Playmaking Winger

Duels

ROLE FIT 75

25/26 · Previous Club

#2 CREATIONHIGH

Neco Williams

Defensive FB

Duels

ROLE FIT 80

25/26 · Previous Club

#3 CREATIONHIGH

Ola Aina

Defensive FB

Duels

ROLE FIT 80

25/26 · Previous Club

Leeds United

#1 CREATIONHIGH

Brenden Aaronson

Duelist Winger

Duels

ROLE FIT 78

25/26 · Previous Club

#2 CREATIONHIGH

Ethan Ampadu

Ball Winner

Duels

ROLE FIT 80

25/26 · Previous Club

#3 CREATIONHIGH

Gabriel Gudmundsson

Defensive FB

Duels

ROLE FIT 78

25/26 · Previous Club

THREAT

Nottingham Forest

#1 THREATHIGH

Igor Jesus

Target Man

Aerial

ROLE FIT 79

25/26 · Previous Club

#2 THREATHIGH

Omari Hutchinson

Playmaking Winger

Duels

ROLE FIT 75

25/26 · Previous Club

#3 THREATHIGH

Murillo

Stopper CB

Tempo

ROLE FIT 85

25/26 · Previous Club

Leeds United

#1 THREATHIGH

Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Poacher

Aerial

ROLE FIT 79

25/26 · Previous Club

#2 THREATHIGH

Brenden Aaronson

Duelist Winger

Duels

ROLE FIT 78

25/26 · Previous Club

#3 THREATHIGH

Lukas Nmecha

Poacher

Box Threat

ROLE FIT 77

25/26 · Previous Club

Where The Match Can Be Won

Matchup Mismatches

BOX

ATTACKER EDGE

Dominic Calvert-LewinVSMurillo

AERIAL THREAT · AERIAL RESISTANCE

Exceptional aerial threat meets a weak opposing aerial resistance profile.

91 → 8HIGH

Block Strength

Unit profile · peer standings

Nottingham Forest

Leeds United

PROGRESSION

Forest25LIMITED

Leeds United58AVERAGE

CARRYING

Forest28LIMITED

Leeds United59AVERAGE

CREATION

Forest47AVERAGE

Leeds United49AVERAGE

DEFENSIVE PRESENCE

Forest37LIMITED

Leeds United53AVERAGE

DUELS

Forest75GREAT

Leeds United56AVERAGE

PROFILE STANDING · HIGH confidence · Coverage 100% · 100%

Game State

What happens if the score changes · results history only

Nottingham Forest — Level

HIGH

35%

Next goal for

47%

Next goal against

0.90

GF /90 while level

1.20

GA /90 while level

43%

Scored first (matches)

Leeds United — Level

HIGH

35%

Next goal for

43%

Next goal against

0.90

GF /90 while level

1.13

GA /90 while level

47%

Scored first (matches)

Historical sampleNottingham Forest: 51 entries · 1805 minLeeds United: 58 entries · 1992 minHIGH

Routes To Advantage

01Nottingham Forest

Neco Williams → Defensive FB → Releases Omari Hutchinson

Evidence: progression · creation

02Leeds United

Brenden Aaronson → Poacher → Creator → threat arrivals

Evidence: link · box_threat