Match-Defining Battle
BOX
Aiyegun Tosin
ST · Poacher
BOX THREAT
VS
Antoine Mendy
RCB · Stopper CB
DEFENSIVE RESISTANCE
Why it matters
A major attacking weapon meets meaningful related resistance — neither side owns this matchup.
Contested98 ↔ 37
Ballity Match Intelligence
NicevsLorient
Ligue 1
2026-08-22 18:45:00
Allianz Riviera
Current Squad v1 · Analytics 68% / 83%HIGH
Match Thesis
Aiyegun Tosin vs Antoine Mendy shapes the Nice–Lorient contest.
MED
Primary Edge
HIGHNice · Defensive FB
Melvin Bard creation vs Lorient defensive resistance
Counter-Route
HIGHLorient · Poacher
Aiyegun Tosin box threat as Lorient counter-route
Expected Lineups
Ballity predicted shape · Current Squad State
XI · UpdatingPress / squad window
Nice · 3-4-2-1
Lorient · 3-4-2-1
Injured / missing
Nice
No sidelined players listed
Lorient
No sidelined players listed
Key Match Players
BUILD-UP
Nice
#1 BUILD-UPHIGH
Sofiane Diop
Box Crasher
Tempo
ROLE FIT 78
25/26 · Previous Club
#2 BUILD-UPHIGH
Isak Jansson
Playmaking Winger
ROLE FIT 95
25/26 · Previous Club
#3 BUILD-UPHIGH
Antoine Mendy
Stopper CB
Physicality
ROLE FIT 83
25/26 · Previous Club
Lorient
#1 BUILD-UPHIGH
Montassar Talbi
Stopper CB
Aerial
ROLE FIT 82
25/26 · Previous Club
#2 BUILD-UPHIGH
Pablo Pagis
Playmaking Winger
Duels
ROLE FIT 83
25/26 · Previous Club
#3 BUILD-UPHIGH
Arsène Kouassi
Offensive FB
Defending
ROLE FIT 78
25/26 · Previous Club
CREATION
Nice
#1 CREATIONHIGH
Melvin Bard
Defensive FB
Duels
ROLE FIT 79
25/26 · Previous Club
#2 CREATIONHIGH
Abdulay Juma Bah
Reader CB
Duels
ROLE FIT 78
25/26 · Previous Club
#3 CREATIONHIGH
Hicham Boudaoui
Carrier
Duels
ROLE FIT 76
25/26 · Previous Club
Lorient
#1 CREATIONHIGH
Pablo Pagis
Playmaking Winger
Duels
ROLE FIT 83
25/26 · Previous Club
#2 CREATIONHIGH
Noah Cadiou
Deep-Lying Playmaker
Tempo
ROLE FIT 69
25/26 · Previous Club
#3 CREATIONHIGH
Arsène Kouassi
Offensive FB
Defending
ROLE FIT 78
25/26 · Previous Club
THREAT
Nice
#1 THREATHIGH
Mohamed-Ali Cho
Raumdeuter
Duels
ROLE FIT 74
25/26 · Previous Club
#2 THREATHIGH
Isak Jansson
Playmaking Winger
ROLE FIT 95
25/26 · Previous Club
#3 THREATHIGH
Antoine Mendy
Stopper CB
Physicality
ROLE FIT 83
25/26 · Previous Club
Lorient
#1 THREATHIGH
Aiyegun Tosin
Poacher
Box Threat
ROLE FIT 77
25/26 · Previous Club
#2 THREATHIGH
Pablo Pagis
Playmaking Winger
Duels
ROLE FIT 83
25/26 · Previous Club
#3 THREATHIGH
Jean-Victor Makengo
Duelist Winger
Duels
ROLE FIT 78
25/26 · Previous Club
Where The Match Can Be Won
HIGH
Block Strength
Unit profile · peer standings
Nice
Lorient
PROGRESSION
Nice40LIMITED
Lorient65GOOD
CARRYING
Nice40LIMITED
Lorient66GOOD
CREATION
Nice68GOOD
Lorient32LIMITED
DEFENSIVE PRESENCE
Nice60GOOD
Lorient73GOOD
DUELS
Nice39LIMITED
Lorient38LIMITED
PROFILE STANDING · HIGH confidence · Coverage 100% · 100%
Game State
What happens if the score changes · results history only
Nice — Level
HIGH27%
Next goal for
52%
Next goal against
0.79
GF /90 while level
1.52
GA /90 while level
37%
Scored first (matches)
Lorient — Level
HIGH37%
Next goal for
41%
Next goal against
1.15
GF /90 while level
1.26
GA /90 while level
49%
Scored first (matches)
Historical sampleNice: 52 entries · 1600 minLorient: 54 entries · 1567 minHIGH
Routes To Advantage
01Nice
Sofiane Diop → Box Crasher → Releases Melvin Bard
Evidence: progression · creation
02Lorient
Pablo Pagis → Poacher → Creator → threat arrivals
Evidence: link · box_threat