Ballity Match Intelligence

RomavsFiorentina

Serie A
2026-08-24 18:45:00
Stadio Olimpico
Current Squad v1 · Analytics 72% / 65%HIGH
Match Thesis

Exceptional box threat meets a weak opposing defensive resistance profile. — Roma vs Fiorentina.

MED
Primary Edge
HIGH
Roma · Overlapping FB

Wesley creation vs Fiorentina defensive resistance

Counter-Route
HIGH
Fiorentina · Poacher

Moise Kean box threat as Fiorentina counter-route

Expected Lineups

Ballity predicted shape · Current Squad State

XI · ProjectedProjected starting XI
Roma · 3-4-2-1
Fiorentina · 4-2-3-1
Injured / missing
Roma

No sidelined players listed

Fiorentina

No sidelined players listed

Key Match Players

BUILD-UP
Roma
#1 BUILD-UPHIGH
Evan Ndicka
Ball-Playing CB
Ball-Playing CB
ROLE FIT 59
25/26 · Previous Club
#2 BUILD-UPHIGH
Bryan Cristante
Deep-Lying Playmaker
Deep-Lying Playmaker
ROLE FIT 57
25/26 · Previous Club
#3 BUILD-UPHIGH
Gianluca Mancini
Ball-Playing CB
Ball-Playing CB
ROLE FIT 48
25/26 · Previous Club
Fiorentina
#1 BUILD-UPHIGH
Nicolò Fagioli
Deep-Lying Playmaker
Deep-Lying Playmaker
ROLE FIT 85
25/26 · Previous Club
#2 BUILD-UPMED
Danilo Cataldi
Deep-Lying Playmaker
Deep-Lying Playmaker
ROLE FIT 60
25/26 · Previous Club
#3 BUILD-UPHIGH
Luca Ranieri
Ball-Playing CB
Ball-Playing CB
ROLE FIT 53
25/26 · Previous Club
CREATION
Roma
#1 CREATIONHIGH
Wesley
Overlapping FB
Overlapping FB
ROLE FIT 62
25/26 · Previous Club
#2 CREATIONHIGH
Matías Soulé
Playmaking Winger
Playmaking Winger
ROLE FIT 68
25/26 · Previous Club
#3 CREATIONHIGH
Manu Koné
Creator
Creator
ROLE FIT 46
25/26 · Previous Club
Fiorentina
#1 CREATIONHIGH
Dodô
Overlapping FB
Overlapping FB
ROLE FIT 69
25/26 · Previous Club
#2 CREATIONMED
Nicolò Zaniolo
Playmaking Winger
Playmaking Winger
ROLE FIT 68
25/26 · Previous Club
#3 CREATIONHIGH
Robin Gosens
Overlapping FB
Overlapping FB
ROLE FIT 47
25/26 · Previous Club
THREAT
Roma
#1 THREATHIGH
Lorenzo Pellegrini
Raumdeuter
Raumdeuter
ROLE FIT 79
25/26 · Previous Club
#2 THREATHIGH
Niccolò Pisilli
Box Crasher
Box Crasher
ROLE FIT 68
25/26 · Previous Club
Fiorentina
#1 THREATHIGH
Moise Kean
Poacher
Poacher
ROLE FIT 73
25/26 · Previous Club
#2 THREATHIGH
Cher Ndour
Box Crasher
Box Crasher
ROLE FIT 67
25/26 · Previous Club
Where The Match Can Be Won
Matchup Mismatches
BOX
ATTACKER EDGE
Moise KeanVSAngeliño
BOX THREAT · DEFENSIVE RESISTANCE

Exceptional box threat meets a weak opposing defensive resistance profile.

94 7MED
BOX
ATTACKER EDGE
Donyell MalenVSPietro Comuzzo
BOX THREAT · DEFENSIVE RESISTANCE

Exceptional box threat meets a weak opposing defensive resistance profile.

94 25HIGH
Block Strength

Unit profile · peer standings

Roma
Fiorentina
PROGRESSION
Roma65GOOD
Fiorentina61GOOD
CARRYING
Roma77GREAT
Fiorentina64GOOD
CREATION
Roma47AVERAGE
Fiorentina78GREAT
DEFENSIVE PRESENCE
Roma52AVERAGE
Fiorentina63GOOD
DUELS
Roma79GREAT
Fiorentina30LIMITED
PROFILE STANDING · HIGH confidence · Coverage 100% · 100%
Game State

What happens if the score changes · results history only

Roma — Level
HIGH
53%
Next goal for
36%
Next goal against
1.63
GF /90 while level
1.11
GA /90 while level
66%
Scored first (matches)
Fiorentina — Level
HIGH
41%
Next goal for
39%
Next goal against
1.13
GF /90 while level
1.08
GA /90 while level
46%
Scored first (matches)
Historical sampleRoma: 53 entries · 1542 minFiorentina: 56 entries · 1833 minHIGH
Routes To Advantage
01Roma

Evan Ndicka → Ball-Playing CB → Releases Wesley

Evidence: progression · creation

02Fiorentina

Dodô → Poacher → Creator → threat arrivals

Evidence: link · box_threat

Ballity Verdict
Control
Roma
Transition
Fiorentina
Individual
EVEN

Exceptional box threat meets a weak opposing defensive resistance profile. — Roma vs Fiorentina.

Shapes the match
Wesley
Overlapping FB vs Fiorentina
Deciding interaction
Evan Ndicka vs Nicolò Fagioli
Opponent route
Moise Kean box threat as Fiorentina counter-route
HIGH43 claims · coverage 72% / 65.4%